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Trump ‘Suddenly’ Has Electoral College Path;
(Clinton Donors Granted WH Dinner Seats)
September 17, 2016
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Trump ‘Suddenly’ Has Electoral College Path
Polls Darken for Democrats
as Trump Pulls Ahead in More States
The Daily Walk with Miracles, September 17, 2016 (updated), by Politico, article excerpt from Trump cracks the Electoral College lock: “A new round of state polls shows Donald Trump suddenly has a path to 270 electoral votes,” Politico, September 15, 2016, by Steven Shepard. If Politico, which tends to have a somewhat liberal bias, is saying Donald Trump has a path to the White House, that is truly significant. Politico indicates that if the election were held today, Trump would likely have 266 electoral votes down pat, with a likelihood of at least some more coming his way. Video is Schlapp: Trump now has a path to an Electoral College win, Fox News on YouTube, added September 16, 2016 — 1:09. Secondary video is Gordon Lightfoot – Too Late for Prayin’ – 4:21.
If the election were held today, Donald Trump would apparently win roughly as many electoral votes as Hillary Clinton — who held a commanding lead in early August and seemed to be closing off all possible Trump routes to 270 electoral votes.
But state polling averages, which can be lagging indicators, are beginning to show Trump in the lead. According to POLITICO’s Battleground States polling average, Trump is now ahead in Iowa and Ohio — and he’s tied with Clinton in vote-rich Florida.
A slightly more aggressive estimate could add Nevada, North Carolina and one electoral vote in Maine to Trump’s tally: The New York real-estate magnate is ahead in the most recent polls in Nevada and North Carolina, and in Maine’s Second Congressional District.
Read the full article here.
Paul Evans: “Hillary has a new ad out featuring Biden, Obama and her in a huge “I CARE” push. The Democrats can do that, they advocate all the huge social programs, right? But I don’t see them coming out with six weeks of maternity leave for women. And maybe under Donald Trump we can get to the point where 75 percent of Americans aren’t living paycheck to paycheck.”
Donald Trump in the News
See Polls darken for Democrats, The Hill, January 15, 2016, by Jonathan Easley: Paul Evans: All of this election cycle the political pundits have been prophesying doom and gloom for Senate Republicans, and maybe for Republicans in the House, too, because of the Trump candidacy. This whole dynamic has changed and the press are just starting to realize this. The question now might be, how big are his coat-tails?
Hillary Clinton’s once formidable lead over Donald Trump in national and battleground polls is evaporating.
Trump has pulled into the lead in Florida and Ohio, two crucial states where he has trailed Clinton for most of the race, and several states that once looked out of reach for Trump — Colorado and Virginia, among them — suddenly appear competitive.
One survey showed Trump swinging to a lead in Nevada, a state that President Obama carried with ease during both of his presidential campaigns. And a poll of Iowa, which has only gone for the GOP nominee once in the last seven elections, found Trump ahead by 8 points.
See The Hill: Why a Trump victory in November is a virtual certainty, The Daily Walk with Miracles, September 14, 2016, by Paul Evans: The best predictive model known gives Donald Trump, who now leads among “likely” voters in recent polls, an 87 percent chance of being our next President, and so does Google Trends.
Trump, Hillary and the whole birther thing
See Trump Drops False ‘Birther’ Theory, but Floats a New One: Clinton Started It, The New York Times, September 16, 2016, by Maggie Haberman and Alan Rappeport: “Clinton in campaign 2008 started the birther theory. I finished it.” Paul Evans: really I think Americans are sick of the whole thing, even though the media cover it in a snyde, entertaining way. This is a frivolous issue and it’s been getting dominating news coverage for several years now, let’s move on. Even the President is getting into this. CNN: “President Obama joked that he is “shocked” he would be asked about the latest birther controversy.” Why, he’s been getting this for eight years now, you mean he’s not used to it? For me, the candidate that “wins” this point will be the one who realizes he doesn’t have to make the most recent statement about it, and speaks about something significant, instead. If questioned on it as a candidate, I would say dismissively, “I ‘no longer’ regard this as a legitimate issue.” Don’t the Democrats and Republicans have something more significant to the campaign and for America’s future to bicker about than THIS?
Hillary’s Enthusiasm Gap
See Enthusiasm gap looms for Clinton, The Hill, September 16, 2016, by Niall Stanage. Paul Evans: This is the whole ball of wax, GOTV (get out the vote). While in once recent poll Clinton held a slight lead among registered voters, Trump led among likely voters. The problem for Hillary basically is, among others, that people are sick and tired of the Clintons, and they basically KNOW they don’t trust them, while they are not sure about Trump. The level of “enthusiasm” or likeliness to actually go out and vote for Hillary is just not there.
See Is Hillary Clinton out of ammo to use against Donald Trump?, Fox News, September 16, 2016, by Howard Kurtz. The answer is a resounding no, they’ve got a huge push out on a couple issues. See the next article and watch Two New Anti-Trump Attack Ads Launched by Hillary Clinton, YouTube news video — 2:55. These ads are basically Hillary Clinton and company accusing Donald Trump of being unfit in almost every way imaginable. Now, Hillary, we mustn’t call names. Ah, but watch SECRET SERVICE AGENT: HILLARY’S TRUE SICKNESS IS HER CHARACTER, The Alex Jones Channel on YouTube — 28:45. When Donald Trump was faced with Hillary’s illness as a campaign issue, Trump gave her a public “get well soon.” I thought that demonstrated Donald’s essential goodness of character as a person very well, actually. Hillary’s character on the other hand I feel is essentially flawed, besides, she screws up every executive organization she’s ever been a part of (that was basically Colin Powell’s comment).
See Why Trumponomics Makes Sense to Americans, Fortune magazine, August 1, 2016: oddly, according to the Harvard Business School study cited, most Americans do NOT see inequality as the main problem facing Americans and the American economy, but rather job growth. Searching Google on the “Trump economic plan” shows the terrible liberal bias in the media on this issue, not ONE article on the first two pages of results was in favor of the Trump plan. So that is a “meme” that the Hillary camp is pushing and also the whole new “I CARE” ad campaign. Yeah, right.
Trump’s NEW Controversy:
Would people want to assassinate Hillary?
Don’t answer that. See Trump on Clinton’s guards: ‘Take their guns away, see what happens to her’, CNN, September 16, 2016, by Jeremy Daimon: Paul Evans: Well, earlier in the campaign Glenn Beck directly (on Sirius radio) called for Trump’s assassination, but then you have to remember, in many ways he’s pretty far “out there.” Donald, that was a rather big gaffe, it seems to me, but only because your intent of demonstrating how hated Hillary is for a lot of Americans was utterly missed. The media will twist that around, and Hillary will capitalize on this for all it can be made into. But I guess he was only speaking to deplorables so it’s more understandable, right? It is utterly despicable of Hillary for her to impute that Donald Trump might be saying something referring to a possible assassination of her (in terms of Trumps obvious intent, which conveniently the press miss or deliberately ignore or deliberately mislead people about).
What’s happening here reminds me of what the liberal press did to Romney about his 47 percent comment. In campaign 2012, Mitt Romney had said, as reported by the press, that he “didn’t care about” the lower 47 percent of Americans. The press crucified him about it and that was, I believe, one of the main reasons he lost the election. Some traitor snuck a video-cam into a fundraising meeting Romney was having and taped the comment. But Romney’s whole intent was utterly missed. He was at a fundraising meeting. He meant that he didn’t care about the lower half of Americans, considered socioeconomically, as a source of funds for his campaign. Mitt Romney is an essentially good and decent man and of course he cares about all Americans.
Trump, Clinton and the Psychology of Politics
in the 2016 Campaign
ASIDE: This sort of abuse of the candidates by the press (and each other) is the sort of thing done especially to Republicans, there really is a media bias, but for a “good” reporter anyone is fair game and reporting for a living about politics is a dirty job. Politics to me seems to be mainly about spin and innuendo and imputation, and not lies but “misstatements.” The main thing I think on a campaign is to enjoy it, which I know Mr. Trump does, while Hillary seems pretty up tight and angry and flustered a good part of the time. Of course Trump really gets angry too, but mostly he is enjoying himself when he does it. I think Clinton’s a fairly competent campaigner, I just wouldn’t want to be on her staff. I want to apologize (somewhat) to Ms. Clinton for these personal sorts of attacks, it’s nothing personal, really, it’s politics (she should know this by now). Watch Dirty Laundry – Don Henley YouTube – 5:41. Hillary’s problem is that everything I have written in this article is absolutely true. Clinton managed to work in the birther controversy, too, in that speech. But I think all doubt about whether she’s recovered from her pneumonia may well be laid to rest.
Hillary Clinton’s campaign said in a statement Friday that Donald Trump’s remark that Clinton’s bodyguards should be disarmed fit into a “pattern of inciting people to violence.”
After that unwarranted attack on Mr. Trump, I don’t think a few, truthful attacks on Hillary are morally in any way culpable, do you? (This was supposed to be a religion and music blog. I thought I had escaped politics when I deleted the Evans Politics website. It’s too darned bad I love this country so much.) Also see Trump: Clinton’s bodyguards should drop guns and ‘see what happens to her, The Hill, September 16, 2016, by Harper Neidig. Oh, God, here goes the liberal press…. Trump’s media coverage has shown a really pronounced liberal bias against him in the last few days, even worse than normal. The Hill, CNN, (of course) NPR, USA Today, almost every major outlet. Thank God for a few smaller blogs like Breitbart. See MSNBC, Politico, Bloomberg, CNN, McClatchy and More Confirm: Hillary Clinton’s 2008 Campaign Spread ‘Birtherism’ About Barack Obama, Breitbart, September 16, 2016, by Matthew Boyle. The truth is the truth, Hillary, and you ain’t it.
Hey Mr. Trump, got a place for me on your campaign, maybe as a writer or analyst, or maybe editing??? I have already edited 12 books. My problem is that Mr. Trump is getting this for nothing now, and he knows this. Um, I can do better, honest, sir. Paul Evans paulfreedom57 @ gmail.com. Actually I might work for Obama too. At least, however ill-conceived some of his policies are, he’s kind, and a gentleman and a scholar. Now Hillary I wouldn’t work for. Not that I don’t have a little fondness for you dear, you’re kind of pretty… with enough make up on.
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